Apple & General Magic: How Focus And Constraints Lead To Success
a scientific paper and it'll make
like a app showing all the other papers that cite it and it'll try to
automatically
sort them into those that agree and
disagree and it really helpfully will show the snippet of how that the target
paper was cited in these other ones
that I used to have to spend like go sit in a
research library and be doing that
by like scanning down a paper to find that so it's like a day now is an hour so
and
I love that like if that means my
books don't sell as well but I get to learn 10
times as science that's a trade-off
I'm definitely willing to make personally I'm not saying everyone should be
willing to make that but I'm willing
to make that tradeoff but in terms of work generally being
disrupted yeah I mean I think the
the model that I think of for sort of there's no singular model but for how
technological innovation has
disrupted work in the past a model that I like that I can tell
sort of quickly is the introduction
of the ATM in in the United States happened around
1970 uh so cash machine mhm um and I
went back and looked at news coverage
and it says like every uh you know
300,000 bank tellers are going to go out
of business overnight and instead
what happened over the next 40 years as there were more ATMs there were more
bank
tellers not fewer because ATMs made
branches Bank branches cheaper to operate so there are fewer uh branches
overall a fewer tellers per Branch
but more branches overall sorry um but it fundamentally changed
the job from someone who's doing
these repetitive transactions repetitive cash transaction to someone who's like
a
marketing professional and a
customer service representative and uh you know maybe a financial adviser it
shifted
them to these strategic goals where
it's much broader mix of strategic skills so if we can
Outsource some of that Kinder
learning environment repetitive stuff to shift humans to being more strategic I
think
that's like a good thing right we
think about I I know Radiologists have been some of the people deal with
medical
imaging have been some of the people
who have often in these reports by banks that say who's going to be replaced
they're often high on the list because
they say the technology can you know
read these pictures very easily radio just looks at a scan and tells you if
you've got a cancer or something yeah
but first of all I have yet to hear
the problem of like wow too many people are having too easy access to Radiology
right like I think we want more of
this service but I think most doctors are not doing doctor house you know most
of the
stuff they're seeing is something
they've seen a million times and I think
a really important role for them is
strategic of well what should this mean to the person how should I deal with
them and what what's reasonable to
implement in their life and what's
feasible for them to do to make a change and so I think it'd be great if we
could
Shi I don't think it will replace
those doctors I think it might shift them to a more strategic role where they
don't have to spend time doing the sort of
more tactical stuff and can do the
more strategic stuff so that's that's been e even in even in chess you know
like
when well like when when IBM's deep
blue beat Gary casprov in chess in 1997 and
he noticed that it beat Gary casprov
he was so much better when he was he was the best in the world at the time now
like a free app on your phone would
be Gary casprov but and he noticed the computer was so much better at tactics
these are these like small patterns
of moves that he had spent his life memorizing but he noticed it wasn't as good
at strategy which is how to arrange
the battles to wage the war so he
promoted what he called freestyle chess tournaments where humans and computers
could play in any combination and
the winners were neither supercomputers nor Grandmasters nor grandm with
supercomputers two amateur chess
players with three laptops they knew something about Chess they knew something
about
algorithmic search and they could
coach the computers where to look like they couldn't even analyze their own
games in
0 Comments